Here's the full picture:

**What you asked:** "I run client services. Are we OK for winter?"

**What I found:** Households served rose from 2,100 last August to 2,290 this August — about a 9% increase year-over-year. Each household receives roughly 30 kg of food per month. I checked this against the client sign-in and distribution records.

**What the coordinator concluded:** **Not currently on track to be OK for winter.** Key points:

- **Thin stock:** 41 tonnes on hand covers only ~60% of a single month's current need (68.7 tonnes/month at 2,290 households), with no buffer for the 4-month winter stretch.
- **Widening gap:** Donations are down 18% YoY (62 tonnes in August) while demand is up 9% YoY — moving in opposite directions. August donations alone fell short of that month's draw.
- **Winter will likely make it worse:** The 2,290-household baseline doesn't yet reflect the typical winter demand increase, so the gap will probably widen further.
- **Logistics risk:** The Northline Transport refrigerated truck contract expires December 15 — mid-winter — with no confirmed cold-chain plan after that.

Recommended next steps span Warehouse/Sourcing (close the ~7-tonne/month gap), Donor Relations (address the donation decline), Client Services (confirm if the 9% growth trend continues into Nov–Feb), and Logistics (renew/replace the Northline contract before it lapses).

**Answer to your question:** No — you are not currently OK for winter. Based on current stock, shrinking donations, rising demand, and an unresolved transport contract gap starting December 15, the food bank is on a trajectory toward a shortfall unless action is taken soon on sourcing, donations, and cold-chain logistics.
