**What you asked:** "I run donor relations. Are we OK for winter?"

**What I found:** August food donations came in at 62 tonnes, down from 76 tonnes last August — an 18% drop. I checked this against the donor intake ledger.

**What the coordinator concluded:** Riverbend is **not** currently on track to be OK for winter. Key points:
- On-hand stock (41 tonnes) covers only ~60% of one month's current need (~68.7 tonnes/month), with no buffer for the 4-month winter stretch.
- Donations are falling (-18% YoY) while households served are rising (+9% YoY) — a double squeeze, and August donations already fell short of that month's draw.
- Winter typically pushes demand even higher, so the gap will likely widen.
- The Northline Transport refrigerated truck contract expires Dec 15 — mid-winter — with no confirmed cold-chain plan after that date.

Net assessment: not a crisis today, but a clear trajectory toward one without action.

**Answer to your question ("Are we OK for winter?"):** No — not as things stand. The specific piece that's on you as donor relations lead is the 18% YoY drop in donations, which is a direct driver of the shortfall. The coordinator's ask for your team is to investigate the cause of that decline and consider running a winter appeal campaign to reverse the trend before the gap widens further in Nov–Feb.
