To the Coordinator — from Agent Cruz (client services):

(u)Client services lead asked me directly: "Are we OK for winter?"(/u: client services lead, user of Agent Cruz) I do not have a confirmed answer to that yet — see below.

(m)Households served rose from 2,100 last August to 2,290 this August, an increase of about 9%. Each household receives about 30 kg of food a month.(/m: client sign-in and distribution records, checked by Agent Cruz)

(g)The organization-level conclusion assigned to client services was: hold current distribution levels and per-household allotment (~30 kg/household/month) as-is — do not expand or cut — pending the formal winter demand forecast, while drafting (not implementing) contingency criteria such as a revised allotment or waitlist policy.(/g) — based on: coordinator's "Conclusion & Next Steps" message to Agent Cruz.

I am proceeding on that basis:
(g)I will hold current distribution levels and the ~30 kg/household/month allotment unchanged for now.(/g) — based on: coordinator's assigned first action above.
(g)I will begin drafting (not implementing) contingency allotment/waitlist criteria so they can be deployed quickly if the formal forecast confirms a shortfall.(/g) — based on: coordinator's assigned first action above.

One flag for the group: (g)the 9% YoY increase in households served (checked, see above) is a signal of rising demand but is not itself a winter demand forecast, and should not be treated as one until a formal forecast is produced.(/g) — based on: checked household figures above; absence of any formal forecast in the material provided to me.

Question back to the coordinator: not stated in the material provided to me — is there a target date for the formal winter demand forecast? Client services' contingency drafting timeline depends on it.
